Middle East

Saudi Pressure: Strike a Deal with Trump — or Face the Consequences

New leverage aims to force Iran to the negotiating table

Mikkel Preisler
By Mikkel Preisler 29. May 2025

Saudi Arabia is warning Iran that rejecting Donald Trump’s offer of a new nuclear deal could come with serious consequences. Behind the initiative lies a dual motive: concern over a potential war and a strong desire for regional stability — particularly for the sake of the Saudi economy.

A Behind-the-Scenes Warning

When Saudi Arabia’s defense minister visited Tehran in April, he delivered a clear message from King Salman: Take negotiations with the U.S. seriously — or risk military escalation, possibly from Israel. It was the first visit to Iran by a senior royal figure in more than two decades.

Peace as an Investment

The Saudi warning must be seen in light of the kingdom’s long-term economic ambitions. With major plans for growth and a transition away from oil, regional stability is essential. Another war could derail investments and scare off international partners.

Iran in a Weak Position

Iran is currently weakened by military setbacks in Gaza, Lebanon, and Syria. At the same time, sanctions are putting heavy pressure on its economy. Iran is interested in reaching a deal — but is wary of Trump’s approach and fears losing control over its nuclear program without gaining sufficient concessions in return.

Riyadh Tries to Balance

Saudi Arabia is also attempting to position itself as a responsible regional player. During the meeting with Iran, officials made it clear that Saudi territory would not be used to launch military strikes, placing the kingdom in a new, more balanced role in the power dynamics between the U.S., Israel, and Iran.

Saudi Arabia’s involvement in the negotiations highlights the fragile equilibrium in the region. As Trump’s window for diplomacy narrows, Riyadh is working to secure its own interests through a mix of pressure and diplomacy — hoping to prevent a new conflict that no one in the region can truly afford.

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